SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
17.92% ( -0.98) | 22.16% ( -0.18) | 59.92% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.72) | 47.19% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.67) | 69.42% ( 0.67) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( -1.54) | 40.05% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( -1.44) | 76.7% ( 1.43) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( 0.14) | 15.34% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( 0.26) | 44.1% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.42)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.9% |
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