SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Argentina |
13.64% ( -0.11) | 20.67% ( 0.13) | 65.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( -0.77) | 48.71% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( -0.7) | 70.82% ( 0.7) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.3% ( -0.65) | 46.7% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.74% ( -0.5) | 82.26% ( 0.5) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -0.25) | 14.01% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( -0.49) | 41.55% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.64% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.67% | 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 12.63% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.44% Total : 65.69% |
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