Stevenage would have been disappointed to lose 3-1 to Oxford on Saturday, but we think that they will respond by picking up a point in Tuesday's tricky contest against a Bolton side who are unbeaten in four competitive home games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.27) 
