SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.29% ( -1.74) | 25.62% ( 0.34) | 36.09% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( -1.34) | 48.51% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( -1.23) | 70.64% ( 1.23) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -1.51) | 24.87% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( -2.15) | 59.48% ( 2.14) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.18) | 26.09% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( 0.24) | 61.15% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.09% |
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