SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Hoffenheim |
49.58% ( 0.06) | 21.95% ( -0.01) | 28.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.85% ( -0) | 34.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0) | 56.03% ( 0.01) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( 0.02) | 14.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.08% ( 0.04) | 41.92% ( -0.03) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( -0.03) | 23.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( -0.05) | 57.83% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.46% |
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