SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.49%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.63%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
39.49% ( -1.15) | 31.39% ( 0.65) | 29.12% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 37.76% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.21% ( -1.6) | 69.79% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.9% ( -1.04) | 87.1% ( 1.04) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( -1.58) | 34.7% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( -1.71) | 71.43% ( 1.71) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% ( -0.53) | 42.18% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.41% ( -0.46) | 78.59% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 15.49% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.49% | 0-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.84) 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.38% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.11% |
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