SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Nacional |
23.78% ( 0.36) | 25.81% ( 0.36) | 50.41% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( -1.05) | 54.84% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.86% ( -0.88) | 76.14% ( 0.87) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.24) | 38.34% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.23) | 75.09% ( 0.23) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.75) | 21.79% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( -1.15) | 55% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.41% |
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