Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.88) 
-0.97) 
