SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
46.83% ( 0.36) | 25.26% ( -0.04) | 27.91% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( 0.01) | 49.7% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0) | 71.71% ( 0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.16) | 21.24% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.25) | 54.14% ( -0.24) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.23) | 32.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.27) | 68.55% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.91% |
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