Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.17) 
