SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Luton Town |
45.27% ( 0.1) | 25.59% ( 0) | 29.14% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.59% ( -0.07) | 50.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( -0.07) | 72.34% ( 0.07) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( 0.02) | 22.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% ( 0.02) | 55.67% ( -0.02) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.11) | 31.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( -0.13) | 67.93% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
