SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
44.5% ( 2.23) | 22.29% ( 0.02) | 33.22% ( -2.24) |
| Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.81% ( -0.77) | 33.19% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.06% ( -0.89) | 54.94% ( 0.89) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.53) | 15.61% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.4% ( 0.98) | 44.6% ( -0.98) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( -1.47) | 20.52% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( -2.38) | 53.02% ( 2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.17)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.94% Total : 33.22% |
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