Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
1.05) 
-1.56) 
