Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
