SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
30.56% ( -0.76) | 26.45% ( -0.44) | 42.99% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( 1.45) | 53.27% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( 1.22) | 74.82% ( -1.22) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.21) | 31.98% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( 0.23) | 68.44% ( -0.23) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 1.27) | 24.57% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( 1.75) | 59.06% ( -1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.99% |
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