SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
26.67% ( -0.02) | 23.84% ( 0.01) | 49.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.06) | 44.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -0.06) | 66.79% ( 0.06) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.05) | 30.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.06) | 66.44% ( 0.06) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( -0.02) | 18.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% ( -0.03) | 48.94% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 26.67% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.5% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
