SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Liverpool |
25.67% ( -0.02) | 28.2% ( -0.01) | 46.13% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.19% ( 0.02) | 61.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% ( 0.02) | 81.59% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0) | 40.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( -0) | 77.13% ( -0) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 0.02) | 26.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( 0.03) | 62.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.67% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 14.31% 0-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 46.13% |
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