Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
