Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Everton | 37 | -19 | 39 |
17 | Burnley | 37 | -18 | 35 |
18 | Leeds United | 37 | -38 | 35 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Liverpool | 37 | 66 | 89 |
3 | Chelsea | 37 | 42 | 71 |
4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 37 | 24 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Chelsea |
12.19% | 18.75% | 69.05% |
Both teams to score 47.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% | 43.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% | 66.22% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.03% | 45.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.31% | 81.69% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.42% | 11.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.45% | 36.55% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 4.14% 2-1 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.19% | 1-1 @ 8.92% 0-0 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.77% Total : 18.75% | 0-2 @ 12.37% 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-4 @ 4.79% 1-4 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-5 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.47% Total : 69.05% |
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