On paper, this is a very tough match for Chelsea, but the Blues have enjoyed their trips to Turf Moor in the Premier League, and we are expecting Tuchel's side to pick up another three points on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
