Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
20.7% (![]() | 22.97% (![]() | 56.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% (![]() | 46.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.03% (![]() | 68.97% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.26% (![]() | 36.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.47% (![]() | 73.53% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% (![]() | 16.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.99% (![]() | 46.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 6.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.7% | 1-1 @ 10.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 10.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.32% |
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