SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
35.63% ( 1.69) | 24.01% ( 0.06) | 40.35% ( -1.75) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( 0.05) | 41.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( 0.05) | 63.49% ( -0.05) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( 0.95) | 22.92% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.32% ( 1.38) | 56.68% ( -1.38) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( -0.77) | 20.57% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.9% ( -1.24) | 53.09% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.35% |
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