SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Barry Town United |
75.1% ( 0.04) | 14.99% ( -0) | 9.91% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.1) | 32.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.2% ( -0.11) | 53.8% ( 0.11) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.8% ( -0.01) | 7.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.86% ( -0.04) | 26.14% ( 0.04) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.78% ( -0.14) | 42.22% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.38% ( -0.12) | 78.62% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0)1-0 @ 8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 75.1% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.99% | 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.91% |
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