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FC
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parken
MU

Copenhagen
4 - 3
Man Utd

Elyounoussi (45'), Goncalves (45+9' pen.), Lerager (83'), Bardghji (87')
Vavro (45+11')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Hojlund (3', 28'), Fernandes (69' pen.)
Maguire (90+3')
Rashford (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Randers 2-4 Copenhagen
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawManchester United
46.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.89% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (0.014000000000003 0.01)64.15% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)18% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (0.010000000000005 0.01)26.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 46.96%
    Manchester United 29.38%
    Draw 23.65%
CopenhagenDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 46.96%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Randers 2-4 Copenhagen
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-0 Hvidovre
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-1 Vejle
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Copenhagen
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Newcastle
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Man Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League


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