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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
73.27% ( -0.02) | 16.77% ( 0.02) | 9.96% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( -0.07) | 40.99% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.07) | 63.39% ( 0.08) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( -0.02) | 9.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% ( -0.05) | 32.4% ( 0.05) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.04) | 48.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.63% ( -0.03) | 83.37% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 73.25% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 16.77% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.91% 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 9.96% |
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