Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Sao Paulo
37.84% ( -1.34)	27.83% ( 0.39)	34.33% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31% (

-1.35)

57.69% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

-1.08)

78.45% (

1.08)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-1.43)

29.46% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

-1.79)

65.46% (

1.79)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

-0.05)

31.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

-0.06)

68.07% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 37.83%

Sao Paulo 34.33%

Draw 27.83%

Corinthians	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.83%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.33%