Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.87) 
1.15) 
