SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Lanus |
44.57% ( -0.03) | 28.38% ( 0.24) | 27.05% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 43.95% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.29% ( -0.87) | 61.7% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.48% ( -0.65) | 81.52% ( 0.65) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -0.43) | 27.63% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( -0.55) | 63.17% ( 0.56) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.66) | 39.26% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( -0.63) | 75.97% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.73% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.05% |
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