SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
31.51% ( -2.15) | 28.53% ( -1) | 39.96% ( 3.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( 2.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.33% ( 3) | 60.66% ( -3.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.26% ( 2.21) | 80.74% ( -2.21) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( 0.07) | 35.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( 0.07) | 71.92% ( -0.08) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 3.45) | 29.67% ( -3.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 4) | 65.72% ( -4.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -1.27) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -1.24)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.33)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.62)0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.58)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.52)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.5)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.95% |
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