SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
34.81% ( -0.01) | 27.94% | 37.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.95% ( 0.01) | 58.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.27% ( 0.01) | 78.73% ( -0) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( 0) | 31.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% | 67.92% ( 0) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( 0.01) | 29.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( 0.01) | 66.1% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.25% |
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