Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
