SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
55.41% ( -0.36) | 22.07% ( 0.07) | 22.51% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.03) | 40.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( 0.03) | 62.84% ( -0.03) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( -0.11) | 14.52% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.46% ( -0.2) | 42.54% ( 0.21) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( 0.27) | 31.52% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% ( 0.32) | 67.91% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 22.51% |
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