Following such a dramatic denouement to last season at Stadio Castellani, it might be a more low-key start to Serie A's 2024-25 campaign on Sunday. One goal could decide the game, and as Empoli's young forwards looked sharp in the cup last week, the home side should get under way with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Monza had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Monza
47.82% ( 0.23)	25.94% ( 0.18)	26.23% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47% (

-0.96)

53.52% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96% (

-0.82)

75.04% (

0.82)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.3)

22.39% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

-0.45)

55.89% (

0.45)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

-0.86)

35.46% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.9)

72.22% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Empoli 47.82%

Monza 26.23%

Draw 25.94%

Empoli	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.82%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.23%