SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Everton had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
36.23% ( 0.02) | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 39.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% ( -0.04) | 40.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% ( -0.04) | 63.13% ( 0.04) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.01) | 22.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( -0.02) | 55.97% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.03) | 20.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.74% ( -0.04) | 53.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.81% |
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