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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
CT

Exeter
vs.
Crawley

 
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Burton Albion vs. Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Crawley vs. Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 32.88% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
42.35% (0.252 0.25) 24.77% (-0.133 -0.13) 32.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (0.562 0.56)45.3% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.535 0.54)67.64% (-0.535 -0.53)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.357 0.36)21.42% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.545 0.55)54.43% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.197 0.2)26.47% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.264 0.26)61.66% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 42.35%
    Crawley Town 32.88%
    Draw 24.77%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.88%

Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 Lincoln
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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