SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
18.25% ( -2.23) | 23.44% ( -0.78) | 58.32% ( 3.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.17) | 51.86% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.15) | 73.62% ( -0.14) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( -2.4) | 42.42% ( 2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% ( -2.13) | 78.79% ( 2.13) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 1.18) | 17.53% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.96% ( 2.01) | 48.05% ( -2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.25% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 11.27% ( 0.76)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.54% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.39)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.31% |
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