SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
64.68% ( 0.15) | 18.6% ( 0.02) | 16.72% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.43) | 32.84% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.46% ( -0.5) | 54.54% ( 0.51) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.4% ( -0.08) | 9.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.89% ( -0.19) | 32.11% ( 0.2) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.46) | 32.74% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( -0.52) | 69.29% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 64.68% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.6% | 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 16.72% |
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