SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
72.98% ( 1.07) | 15.97% ( -0.47) | 11.05% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( 0.61) | 33.63% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( 0.69) | 55.44% ( -0.7) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.03% ( 0.37) | 7.97% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.87% ( 0.94) | 28.12% ( -0.95) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.85% ( -0.61) | 41.14% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.31% ( -0.54) | 77.68% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.98% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.97% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.05% |
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