The latest Derby dell'Appennino sees two teams separated by a huge mountain range meeting with little to choose between them this season. Only the lack of a first-rate striker has limited Fiorentina's progress, but Bologna boast an attack featuring Joshua Zirkzee and can upset the goal-shy Viola.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.13) 
