Despite 10 points separating the two clubs in the table, this has all the makings of a hard-fought contest. However, while we expect Bologna to continue their recent improvements, Fiorentina represent a step up in class, leading us to predict a narrow win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
56.12%	22.84%	21.03%

Both teams to score 53.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26%

45.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94%

68.06%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89%

16.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47%

45.53%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 56.11%

Bologna 21.03%

Draw 22.84%

Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 5.86% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.32% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.03%