SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
69.61% ( 1.39) | 17.7% ( -0.46) | 12.69% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( -0.1) | 37.61% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.16% ( -0.11) | 59.84% ( 0.11) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( 0.31) | 9.73% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% ( 0.71) | 32.4% ( -0.71) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.87% ( -1.46) | 41.13% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.33% ( -1.32) | 77.67% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.7% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.69% |
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