SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Genk had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Genk |
54.6% ( 6.57) | 21.94% ( -1.6) | 23.46% ( -4.97) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( 3.03) | 38.73% ( -3.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( 3.13) | 61.04% ( -3.13) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( 3.4) | 14.19% ( -3.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.1% ( 6.26) | 41.9% ( -6.26) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -2.14) | 29.75% ( 2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -2.68) | 65.82% ( 2.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.88)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.99)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.73)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.71)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.35)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.38)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.36)Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.63)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.93) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -1.13)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.92)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.47)Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.46% |
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