SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
73.49% ( 0.45) | 16.39% ( -0.06) | 10.11% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.31% ( -0.89) | 38.69% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( -0.95) | 61% ( 0.95) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% ( -0.12) | 9.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.1% ( -0.29) | 30.9% ( 0.29) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.65% ( -1.34) | 46.35% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.01% ( -1.05) | 81.99% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 73.48% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.39% | 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.72% Total : 10.11% |
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