Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
63.55% (![]() | 20.86% (![]() | 15.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.35% (![]() | 45.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.03% (![]() | 67.97% (![]() |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% (![]() | 13.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% (![]() | 40.93% (![]() |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% (![]() | 42.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% (![]() | 78.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
1-0 @ 11.44% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.37% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 63.54% | 1-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.59% |
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