Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.13) 
