SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
46.8% ( 2.15) | 21.75% ( 0.14) | 31.45% ( -2.3) |
| Both teams to score 68.28% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.73% ( -1.75) | 31.27% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.29% ( -2.09) | 52.71% ( 2.09) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( 0.06) | 14.06% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.34% ( 0.12) | 41.65% ( -0.12) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -2) | 20.53% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -3.27) | 53.04% ( 3.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.54)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.18)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.23)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.45% |
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