While Fluminense have been some way from their best this season, they have managed to pull off results in this competition when it mattered. They also beat this opponent less than a month ago and are unbeaten in their last seven games at home. Thus, we feel O Flu will edge the result in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.
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