Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
0.18) 
-0.01) 
