Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.95%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.08) 
