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Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
C

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Corinthians

Martin Lucero (26'), Pikachu (90+4')
Marinho (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pedrinho (33')
Gil (87'), Mendez (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.95%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
65.34% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1) 21.89% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 12.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88% (-0.283 -0.28)55.11% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63% (-0.234 -0.23)76.36% (0.22800000000001 0.23)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.133 -0.13)16.24% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (-0.238 -0.24)45.75% (0.232 0.23)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.97% (-0.154 -0.15)52.02% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-0.1 -0.1)86.01% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 65.33%
    Corinthians 12.77%
    Draw 21.88%
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 13.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 65.33%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 12.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-3 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Santos
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Corinthians (2-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Goias
Sunday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, August 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 16 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil


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