While Palestra do not have a great record at Arena Casleleo, we believe that the momentum they have built up will carry them to a sixth successive triumph on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
38.74% ( -0.06)	27.94% ( 0)	33.32% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.77% (

0.01)

58.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

78.87% (

-0)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.03)

29.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.04)

65.13% (

0.05)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

0.05)

32.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

0.05)

69.15% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 38.74%

Palmeiras 33.31%

Draw 27.94%

Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.31%