Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SC Paderborn in this match.
-1.04) 
0.22) 
